Eastern 0-1 Western Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.61
Over Pick
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
34%
4-5
25%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.7pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Springs The Market 29%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
4.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
+52% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Western Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Springs nicked a narrow win over Eastern 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Eastern at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Western Springs?

Eastern 0-1 Western Springs in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Western Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Eastern 45%, draw 25%, Western Springs 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastern) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YZLBÖL More New Zealand - Bölgesel
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Western Suburbs vs Auckland City Analysis →