Western Suburbs 1-2 Auckland City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
30%
4.95
Away
46%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.96
Over Pick
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
13%
+10.8pp
30%
Draw
17%
+13.7pp
45%
Away Win
70%
-24.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.1pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Suburbs The Market 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Auckland City The Market 75%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/0.75
-100% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Western Suburbs vs Auckland City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auckland City nicked a narrow win over Western Suburbs 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auckland City as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Western Suburbs vs Auckland City?

Western Suburbs 1-2 Auckland City in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Suburbs vs Auckland City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auckland City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Western Suburbs 24%, draw 30%, Auckland City 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auckland City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auckland City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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