Ullensaker / Kisa II 1-3 Lorenskog — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
6%
8.78
Away
83%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
18%
Over 2.5
82%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
34.0
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
34%
5.38
4-5 Goals
34%
2.59
6+ Goals
22%
1.52
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 5.38 — our 34% vs market 12.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
15%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
10%
X/X
2%
2/1
2%
2/2
59%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
8%
+2.2pp
6%
Draw
11%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa II EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorenskog EU Bookmakers 97%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.27/4.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/0.94
+9% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +25%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
243 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lorenskog
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 11
1 Corners 6
23.09.2021 Lorenskog Lorenskog 3-0 HT 1-0 Ullensaker / Kisa II Ullensaker / Kisa II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa II
1-3
AWAY Lorenskog
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ullensaker / Kisa II vs Lorenskog
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorenskog beat Ullensaker / Kisa II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lorenskog as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (82%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Ullensaker / Kisa II had 41% of the ball to Lorenskog's 59%, shots finished 4-24.

What was the final score of Ullensaker / Kisa II vs Lorenskog?

Ullensaker / Kisa II 1-3 Lorenskog in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullensaker / Kisa II vs Lorenskog?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split Ullensaker / Kisa II 10%, draw 6%, Lorenskog 83%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorenskog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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