Drobak / Frogn 3-3 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
40%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.32
No
41%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+8.3pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.7pp
40%
Away Win
58%
-18.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-12.8pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drobak / Frogn EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.86
-82% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drobak / Frogn
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.04.2025 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 5-1 HT 4-0 Drobak / Frogn Drobak / Frogn NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drobak / Frogn
3-3
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Drobak / Frogn vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drobak / Frogn and Sarpsborg 08 II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Drobak / Frogn had 44% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 56%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Drobak / Frogn vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Drobak / Frogn 3-3 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drobak / Frogn vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Drobak / Frogn 31%, draw 29%, Sarpsborg 08 II 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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