Chelsea (K) 3-0 Celtic (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
43%
4-5
26%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Chelsea (K) win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
85%
-23.4pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.3pp
21%
Away Win
6%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-25% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
36.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Celtic (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.94 xG 0.39
72% Ball Possession 28%
26 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
626 Passes 197
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
64 Box Touches 9
35 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2024 Celtic (K) Celtic (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) ŞMP-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
3-0
AWAY Celtic (K)
2.67 xG 0.08
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 0
616 Passes 196
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
57 Box Touches 2
50 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Celtic (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) cruised past Celtic (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 72% of the ball to Celtic (K)'s 28%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 2.67 to 0.08.

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Celtic (K)?

Chelsea (K) 3-0 Celtic (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Celtic (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 62%, draw 18%, Celtic (K) 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ŞMP-K More Champions League - Women's
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