Teutonia Hamburg 1-4 St. Pauli II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teutonia Hamburg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli II EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.71/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.05
+16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teutonia Hamburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli II
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 3-3 HT 1-1 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
22.11.2023 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-1 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
26.02.2023 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
07.09.2022 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 2-0 HT 0-0 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
07.11.2021 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg 4-0 HT 3-0 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II ALMBÖL
29.08.2021 St. Pauli II St. Pauli II 1-3 HT 1-2 Teutonia Hamburg Teutonia Hamburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Teutonia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli II swept aside Teutonia Hamburg 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and on the day St. Pauli II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Teutonia Hamburg and 1.33 for St. Pauli II.

What was the final score of Teutonia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II?

Teutonia Hamburg 1-4 St. Pauli II in the Germany - Regional League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teutonia Hamburg vs St. Pauli II?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Teutonia Hamburg 36%, draw 25%, St. Pauli II 38%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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