Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
14%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.0pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 30%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -10%
0.99/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.30
-37% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
14.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.3 Crosses 16.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aurora
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
14.07.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 2-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2-2
AWAY Aurora
1.72 xG 1.26
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
355 Passes 178
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ and Aurora shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gualberto Villarroel SJ at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 64% of the ball to Aurora's 36%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 1.72 to 1.26.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Aurora?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 52%, draw 20%, Aurora 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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