Guadeloupe 1-0 Kayman Adaları — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.81
No
56%
1.22
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
34.0
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
45%
5.09
4-5 Goals
25%
2.63
6+ Goals
12%
1.69
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 5.09 — our 45% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
84%
-16.1pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.6pp
16%
Away Win
8%
+8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
22%
+22.3pp
56%
BTTS No
78%
-22.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guadeloupe EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayman Adaları EU Bookmakers 11%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.94/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/3.08
+5% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
345 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 82%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
9.0 Crosses 3.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guadeloupe
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kayman Adaları
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
3.01 xG 0.26
73% Ball Possession 27%
22 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
434 Passes 104
85% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.11.2024 Kayman Adaları Kayman Adaları 0-6 HT 0-3 Guadeloupe Guadeloupe CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guadeloupe
1-0
AWAY Kayman Adaları
0.72 xG 0.39
77% Ball Possession 23%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
469 Passes 101
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guadeloupe vs Kayman Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadeloupe squeezed past Kayman Adaları 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guadeloupe as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Guadeloupe had 77% of the ball to Kayman Adaları's 23%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.72 to 0.39.

What was the final score of Guadeloupe vs Kayman Adaları?

Guadeloupe 1-0 Kayman Adaları in the CONCACAF Champions League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guadeloupe vs Kayman Adaları?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guadeloupe win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Guadeloupe 68%, draw 16%, Kayman Adaları 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guadeloupe), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guadeloupe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
20 Nov 2024
02:00 Dominik Cumhuriyeti vs Bermuda Analysis →
02:00 Fransız Guyanası vs Belize Analysis →
02:00 Guyana vs Barbados Analysis →
03:30 Kanada vs Surinam Analysis →
05:30 Meksika vs Honduras Analysis →