Meksika 4-0 Honduras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.71
6+ Goals
11%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.2pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meksika EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Honduras EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
3.10/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.55
-27% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
419 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
44.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.7
39.4 Crosses 13.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meksika
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Honduras
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.04 xG 0.52
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
460 Passes 195
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Honduras Honduras 2-0 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika CON
22.11.2023 Meksika Meksika 2-0 HT 1-0 Honduras Honduras CON
18.11.2023 Honduras Honduras 2-0 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika CON
26.06.2023 Meksika Meksika 4-0 HT 2-0 Honduras Honduras GK
28.03.2022 Honduras Honduras 0-1 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
11.10.2021 Meksika Meksika 3-0 HT 1-0 Honduras Honduras DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meksika
4-0
AWAY Honduras
3.03 xG 0.11
77% Ball Possession 23%
27 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 1
496 Passes 108
89% Pass Accuracy 63%
47 Box Touches 3
41 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Meksika vs Honduras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika swept aside Honduras 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Meksika had 77% of the ball to Honduras's 23%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 3.03 to 0.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Meksika and 0.67 for Honduras.

What was the final score of Meksika vs Honduras?

Meksika 4-0 Honduras in the CONCACAF Champions League on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meksika vs Honduras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Meksika 61%, draw 22%, Honduras 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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