Honduras 2-0 Meksika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
4.94
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.0pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Honduras EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.42/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.13
+101% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +41%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
236 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 80%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
34.0 Crosses 17.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Honduras
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Meksika
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.44 xG 2.27
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
205 Passes 485
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
6 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2023 Meksika Meksika 2-0 HT 1-0 Honduras Honduras CON
18.11.2023 Honduras Honduras 2-0 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika CON
26.06.2023 Meksika Meksika 4-0 HT 2-0 Honduras Honduras GK
28.03.2022 Honduras Honduras 0-1 HT 0-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
11.10.2021 Meksika Meksika 3-0 HT 1-0 Honduras Honduras DKE
25.07.2021 Meksika Meksika 3-0 HT 3-0 Honduras Honduras GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Honduras
2-0
AWAY Meksika
0.65 xG 0.52
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
212 Passes 426
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Honduras vs Meksika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Honduras beat Meksika 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Meksika at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Honduras had 38% of the ball to Meksika's 62%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.65 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Honduras and 2.17 for Meksika.

What was the final score of Honduras vs Meksika?

Honduras 2-0 Meksika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Honduras vs Meksika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Honduras 29%, draw 28%, Meksika 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Meksika) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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