Surinam 0-1 Kanada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
5.09
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
38%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.66
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
16%
+16.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
38%
Away Win
61%
-23.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Surinam EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Kanada EU Bookmakers 66%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.61/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/0.48
+9% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +5%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
216 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.0 Crosses 10.7
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Surinam
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kanada
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
0.90 xG 2.88
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 0
253 Passes 469
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2021 Kanada Kanada 4-0 HT 1-0 Surinam Surinam DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Surinam
0-1
AWAY Kanada
0.16 xG 1.95
34% Ball Possession 66%
2 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
179 Passes 421
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 27
6 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Surinam vs Kanada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada nicked a narrow win over Surinam 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Kanada made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Surinam had 34% of the ball to Kanada's 66%, shots finished 2-13, expected goals 0.16 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kanada's control.

What was the final score of Surinam vs Kanada?

Surinam 0-1 Kanada in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Surinam vs Kanada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Surinam 33%, draw 29%, Kanada 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kanada) ✓ Under 2.5
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