Bermuda 2-1 Antigua Ve Barbuda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.74
Over 2.5
55%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.4
2-3 Goals
38%
2.13
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
11%
5.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-18.7pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+12.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
33%
+12.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
67%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bermuda EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua Ve Barbuda EU Bookmakers 14%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.42/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/3.50
+11% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
10.0 Crosses 8.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bermuda
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Antigua Ve Barbuda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.39 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
370 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
48 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
10.09.2024 Antigua Ve Barbuda Antigua Ve Barbuda 0-1 HT 0-0 Bermuda Bermuda CON
05.06.2024 Antigua Ve Barbuda Antigua Ve Barbuda 1-1 HT 1-0 Bermuda Bermuda DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bermuda
2-1
AWAY Antigua Ve Barbuda
1.08 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 Passes 257
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bermuda vs Antigua Ve Barbuda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bermuda nicked a narrow win over Antigua Ve Barbuda 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bermuda as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bermuda had 55% of the ball to Antigua Ve Barbuda's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.08 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bermuda had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bermuda and 0.50 for Antigua Ve Barbuda.

What was the final score of Bermuda vs Antigua Ve Barbuda?

Bermuda 2-1 Antigua Ve Barbuda in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bermuda vs Antigua Ve Barbuda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bermuda win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bermuda 53%, draw 23%, Antigua Ve Barbuda 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bermuda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bermuda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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