Antigua Ve Barbuda 0-1 Bermuda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.61
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.6pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua Ve Barbuda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bermuda EU Bookmakers 45%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.02/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.72/2.09
-33% / -78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
16.0 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua Ve Barbuda
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bermuda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.49 xG 2.65
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
201 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
8 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
05.06.2024 Antigua Ve Barbuda Antigua Ve Barbuda 1-1 HT 1-0 Bermuda Bermuda DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua Ve Barbuda
0-1
AWAY Bermuda
0.76 xG 2.13
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
235 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 53
15 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Bermuda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bermuda edged past Antigua Ve Barbuda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Bermuda found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Antigua Ve Barbuda had 43% of the ball to Bermuda's 57%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.76 to 2.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bermuda's control.

What was the final score of Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Bermuda?

Antigua Ve Barbuda 0-1 Bermuda in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua Ve Barbuda vs Bermuda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bermuda win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Antigua Ve Barbuda 32%, draw 32%, Bermuda 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bermuda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bermuda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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