Grenada 1-2 St. Lucia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.9
6+ Goals
12%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grenada EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Lucia EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 25.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grenada
1-2
AWAY St. Lucia
1.01 xG 2.06
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
358 Passes 111
74% Pass Accuracy 49%
32 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grenada vs St. Lucia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Lucia squeezed past Grenada 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Grenada at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Grenada had 68% of the ball to St. Lucia's 32%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.01 to 2.06.

What was the final score of Grenada vs St. Lucia?

Grenada 1-2 St. Lucia in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grenada vs St. Lucia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grenada win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grenada 42%, draw 23%, St. Lucia 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Grenada) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Grenada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CON More CONCACAF Champions League
10 Sep 2024
00:00 Haiti vs Sint Maarten Analysis →
00:00 Curaçao vs Sint Maarten Analysis →
03:00 Aruba vs Porto Riko Analysis →
05:00 Guatemala vs Kosta Rika Analysis →
18:00 Dominik Cumhuriyeti vs Dominika Analysis →
22:00 Belize vs Anguilla Analysis →