Curaçao 4-0 Sint Maarten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.22
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
22%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.04
2-3 Goals
39%
2.32
4-5 Goals
30%
2.39
6+ Goals
11%
4.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
77%
-19.9pp
21%
Draw
14%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
9%
+13.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Curaçao EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sint Maarten EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +53%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 9.3
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Curaçao
4-0
AWAY Sint Maarten
1.79 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
279 Passes 193
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Curaçao vs Sint Maarten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curaçao swept aside Sint Maarten 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Curaçao as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Curaçao had 54% of the ball to Sint Maarten's 46%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.56.

What was the final score of Curaçao vs Sint Maarten?

Curaçao 4-0 Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Curaçao vs Sint Maarten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Curaçao win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Curaçao 57%, draw 21%, Sint Maarten 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Curaçao), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Curaçao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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