Aruba 0-1 Porto Riko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
7.78
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
54%
1.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.08
2-3 Goals
39%
2.2
4-5 Goals
27%
2.45
6+ Goals
14%
4.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
10%
+14.2pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.8pp
53%
Away Win
76%
-22.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aruba EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto Riko EU Bookmakers 80%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +106% / +4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aruba
0-1
AWAY Porto Riko
0.83 xG 2.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
225 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 25
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aruba vs Porto Riko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto Riko squeezed past Aruba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Porto Riko as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aruba had 41% of the ball to Porto Riko's 59%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 0.83 to 2.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Porto Riko's control.

What was the final score of Aruba vs Porto Riko?

Aruba 0-1 Porto Riko in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aruba vs Porto Riko?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto Riko win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aruba 24%, draw 22%, Porto Riko 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto Riko) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto Riko) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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