Haiti 6-0 Sint Maarten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 10 Sep 2024

Haiti
6-0 HT 1-0
Sint Maarten
📅10/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
CONCACAF Champions League – 2024/2025

Haiti vs Sint Maarten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
20.45
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
37%
3.69
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
17%
2.14
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 3.69 — our 37% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.4pp
18%
Draw
8%
+9.8pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Haiti v Sint Maarten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haiti EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sint Maarten EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.36/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.18
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +60%
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
432 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.0 Crosses 9.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Haiti 6-0 Sint Maarten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haiti
6-0
AWAY Sint Maarten
4.12 xG 0.79
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
471 Passes 157
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Haiti vs Sint Maarten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haiti swept aside Sint Maarten 6-0. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Haiti as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Haiti had 69% of the ball to Sint Maarten's 31%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 4.12 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Haiti vs Sint Maarten?

Haiti 6-0 Sint Maarten in the CONCACAF Champions League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haiti vs Sint Maarten?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haiti win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Haiti 66%, draw 18%, Sint Maarten 16%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Haiti), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Haiti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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