Porto Riko 5-1 Aruba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.27
Draw
15%
5.28
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
74%
-6.9pp
15%
Draw
16%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.1pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto Riko EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Aruba EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
4.47/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.46
+69% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +81%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.7 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto Riko
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aruba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.38 xG 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
336 Passes 225
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
10.09.2024 Aruba Aruba 0-1 HT 0-0 Porto Riko Porto Riko CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto Riko
5-1
AWAY Aruba
0.82 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
223 Passes 249
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Porto Riko vs Aruba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto Riko swept aside Aruba 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto Riko as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Porto Riko had 47% of the ball to Aruba's 53%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.82 to 0.67.

What was the final score of Porto Riko vs Aruba?

Porto Riko 5-1 Aruba in the CONCACAF Champions League on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto Riko vs Aruba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto Riko win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Porto Riko 68%, draw 15%, Aruba 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto Riko), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Porto Riko) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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