AS Khroub 1-1 USM El Harrach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.7pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Khroub EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.00/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.01
-19% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Khroub
0W-0D-1L
AWAY USM El Harrach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
30.03.2024 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 2-1 HT 0-0 AS Khroub AS Khroub CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Khroub
1-1
AWAY USM El Harrach
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Khroub vs USM El Harrach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Khroub and USM El Harrach couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was AS Khroub at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, AS Khroub had 63% of the ball to USM El Harrach's 37%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of AS Khroub vs USM El Harrach?

AS Khroub 1-1 USM El Harrach in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Khroub vs USM El Harrach?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Khroub win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AS Khroub 45%, draw 33%, USM El Harrach 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AS Khroub), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Khroub) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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