Al Adalah 3-1 Al Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.3pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Adalah EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Najma EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.28/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.00
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Adalah
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Najma
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.02.2024 Al Adalah Al Adalah 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
15.09.2023 Al Najma Al Najma 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Adalah Al Adalah SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Adalah vs Al Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Adalah got the better of Al Najma 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Adalah found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Adalah had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Adalah and 1.50 for Al Najma.

What was the final score of Al Adalah vs Al Najma?

Al Adalah 3-1 Al Najma in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Adalah vs Al Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Adalah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Adalah 37%, draw 28%, Al Najma 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Adalah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Adalah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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