Al Bukayriyah 2-1 Al-Jandal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 20 Nov 2024

📅20/11/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.8pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Jandal EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.26/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.86
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bukayriyah
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Al-Jandal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 2-3 HT 1-2 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal SUUD1
03.01.2024 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bukayriyah
2-1
AWAY Al-Jandal
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Bukayriyah vs Al-Jandal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah edged past Al-Jandal 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Bukayriyah as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Bukayriyah had 48% of the ball to Al-Jandal's 52%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al-Jandal led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Bukayriyah and 2.50 for Al-Jandal.

What was the final score of Al Bukayriyah vs Al-Jandal?

Al Bukayriyah 2-1 Al-Jandal in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 20/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bukayriyah vs Al-Jandal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Bukayriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Bukayriyah 42%, draw 34%, Al-Jandal 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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