Al Bukayriyah 2-3 Al-Jandal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒17:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Jandal EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.33/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.62
+0% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bukayriyah
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al-Jandal
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2024 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bukayriyah
2-3
AWAY Al-Jandal
64% Ball Possession 36%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Bukayriyah vs Al-Jandal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Jandal nicked a narrow win over Al Bukayriyah 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Bukayriyah at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Bukayriyah had 64% of the ball to Al-Jandal's 36%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Al Bukayriyah vs Al-Jandal?

Al Bukayriyah 2-3 Al-Jandal in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bukayriyah vs Al-Jandal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Bukayriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Bukayriyah 43%, draw 28%, Al-Jandal 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) ✗ Under 2.5
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