21/05/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Al Batin vs Arabi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
29%
Draw
21%
44%
Away Win
61%
50%
Under 2.5
36%
50%
Over 2.5
64%
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
48%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Batin v Arabi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Batin
EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arabi
EU Bookmakers 66%
+38% /
+38%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-24% /
-24%
1.47/0.95
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.84/0.67
+33%
/
+44%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-50%
/
+29%
39%
Ball Possession
61%
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
284 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
490 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
2.6
Al Batin vs Arabi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Batin
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Arabi
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
41%
Ball Possession
59%
8
Total Shots
14
5
Shots on Target
8
3
Corners
6
4
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Batin vs Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Batin and Arabi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Arabi at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Al Batin vs Arabi?
Al Batin 1-1 Arabi in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Batin vs Arabi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Batin 28%, draw 29%, Arabi 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arabi) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Arabi)
✓ BTTS Yes
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21 May 2024