Al Najma 0-2 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 21 May 2024

📅21/05/2024 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.29/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.45
+16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Faisaly
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.01.2024 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly saw off Al Najma 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Al Faisaly found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Faisaly?

Al Najma 0-2 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 21/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 35%, draw 30%, Al Faisaly 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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