Vila Nova 2-2 Volta Redonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 20 Nov 2025

Vila Nova
2-2 HT 1-1
Volta Redonda
📅20/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Vila Nova vs Volta Redonda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vila Nova v Volta Redonda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -14%
1.25/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.58
-15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
21.1 Crosses 21.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Vila Nova vs Volta Redonda Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vila Nova
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Volta Redonda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.93 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
397 Passes 301
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.07.2025 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 2-1 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2

Vila Nova 2-2 Volta Redonda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Nova
2-2
AWAY Volta Redonda
2.67 xG 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
31 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
14 Corners 3
377 Passes 267
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 10
45 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vila Nova vs Volta Redonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Nova and Volta Redonda couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vila Nova at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vila Nova had 58% of the ball to Volta Redonda's 42%, shots finished 31-8, expected goals 2.67 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Volta Redonda?

Vila Nova 2-2 Volta Redonda in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Volta Redonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 50%, draw 26%, Volta Redonda 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vila Nova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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