Volta Redonda 2-1 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Jul 2025

Volta Redonda
2-1 HT 1-0
Vila Nova
📅27/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Volta Redonda vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.09
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Volta Redonda v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.47/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.20
-46% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
29.7 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Volta Redonda 2-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volta Redonda
2-1
AWAY Vila Nova
1.30 xG 0.93
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
301 Passes 397
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Volta Redonda vs Vila Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volta Redonda nicked a narrow win over Vila Nova 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Volta Redonda as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volta Redonda had 43% of the ball to Vila Nova's 57%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.30 to 0.93.

What was the final score of Volta Redonda vs Vila Nova?

Volta Redonda 2-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volta Redonda vs Vila Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volta Redonda win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Volta Redonda 43%, draw 30%, Vila Nova 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volta Redonda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volta Redonda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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