CRB 4-0 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.24/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.14
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
19.9 Crosses 18.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
276 Passes 265
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 CRB CRB 0-1 HT 0-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
20.04.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 2-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BR2
27.08.2023 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
13.05.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-1 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2
24.07.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 2-0 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
05.05.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 3-1 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
4-0
AWAY Novorizontino
2.53 xG 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
321 Passes 310
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CRB vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB swept aside Novorizontino 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, CRB had 50% of the ball to Novorizontino's 50%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 2.53 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CRB and 1.17 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of CRB vs Novorizontino?

CRB 4-0 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CRB 41%, draw 29%, Novorizontino 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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