Coritiba 1-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 27 Jul 2025

📅27/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.68
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.3pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -17%
1.65/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.36
+3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
25.1 Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Amazonas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 1.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
350 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
13.10.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 3-1 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
26.06.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
1-1
AWAY Amazonas
0.73 xG 0.96
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
335 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
11 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba and Amazonas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Coritiba at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Coritiba had 53% of the ball to Amazonas's 47%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 0.73 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Coritiba and 1.00 for Amazonas.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Amazonas?

Coritiba 1-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 27/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 51%, draw 29%, Amazonas 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Coritiba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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