Amazonas 1-0 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 26 Jun 2024

📅26/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
6.33
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
0.65/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.07
-15% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
23.0 Crosses 17.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-0
AWAY Coritiba
1.59 xG 0.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
209 Passes 311
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas edged past Coritiba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Amazonas made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Amazonas had 43% of the ball to Coritiba's 57%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.59 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Coritiba?

Amazonas 1-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 26/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 32%, draw 32%, Coritiba 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coritiba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coritiba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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