Coritiba 3-1 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.38
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.05
6+ Goals
7%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.4pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.39/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.02
-9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
23.4 Crosses 10.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Amazonas
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.44 xG 1.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
311 Passes 209
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
26.06.2024 Amazonas Amazonas 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
3-1
AWAY Amazonas
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
389 Passes 286
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba saw off Amazonas 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coritiba had 56% of the ball to Amazonas's 44%, shots finished 20-12.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs Amazonas?

Coritiba 3-1 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 54%, draw 27%, Amazonas 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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