Crewe Alexandra 0-0 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 20 Dec 2024

Crewe Alexandra
0-0 HT 0-0
Colchester
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Crewe Alexandra vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.6
Over
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.39
2-3
43%
1.71
4-5
17%
4.45
6+
9%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
11%
4.35
X/2
10%
6.52
X/X
18%
4.15
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
8%
5.35
2/X
8%
15.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Crewe Alexandra v Colchester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.24/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.48
+18% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
263 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 67%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.9 Crosses 16.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Crewe Alexandra vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Colchester
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
339 Passes 252
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
15 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 2-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
10.04.2023 Colchester Colchester 4-0 HT 3-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
12.11.2022 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
22.10.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
26.01.2019 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 2-1 HT 0-1 Colchester Colchester İN2
21.08.2018 Colchester Colchester 6-0 HT 3-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2

Crewe Alexandra 0-0 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-0
AWAY Colchester
0.37 xG 0.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra and Colchester played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Crewe Alexandra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 48% of the ball to Colchester's 52%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.37 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crewe Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 2.00 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Colchester?

Crewe Alexandra 0-0 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crewe Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 43%, draw 31%, Colchester 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crewe Alexandra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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