Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gillingham v Cheltenham Town — Team-Based Signals
Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN1
0-2
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
İN1
1-0
HT 1-0
Gillingham
FAK
1-1
HT 0-1
Cheltenham Town
FAK
1-1
HT 1-1
Cheltenham Town
İNLK
1-0
HT 0-0
Gillingham
İN2
Gillingham 2-2 Cheltenham Town — Actual Match Statistics
Gillingham and Cheltenham Town couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gillingham had 60% of the ball to Cheltenham Town's 40%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.16 to 0.59.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gillingham and 1.33 for Cheltenham Town.
What was the final score of Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town?
Gillingham 2-2 Cheltenham Town in the England - 2nd Division on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gillingham vs Cheltenham Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gillingham win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gillingham 39%, draw 27%, Cheltenham Town 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.