Ponferradina 2-0 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.13
No
49%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
22.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.23 — our 26% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
43%
+8.4pp
49%
BTTS No
57%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.54/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.23
-4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 11.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tarazona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2024 Tarazona Tarazona 2-0 HT 1-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
25.11.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-1 HT 0-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
2-0
AWAY Tarazona
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina beat Tarazona 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ponferradina as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ponferradina had 69% of the ball to Tarazona's 31%, shots finished 27-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tarazona led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Ponferradina and 1.50 for Tarazona.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Tarazona?

Ponferradina 2-0 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 53%, draw 23%, Tarazona 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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