Tarazona 2-0 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.38
Over 2.5
36%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
7.06
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.4pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.4pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarazona EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.88/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.53
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +100%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tarazona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-1 HT 0-0 Tarazona Tarazona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tarazona
2-0
AWAY Ponferradina
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tarazona vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tarazona beat Ponferradina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Tarazona made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Tarazona had 50% of the ball to Ponferradina's 50%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Tarazona vs Ponferradina?

Tarazona 2-0 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarazona vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tarazona win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tarazona 37%, draw 30%, Ponferradina 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tarazona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tarazona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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