Hellas Verona 0-1 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 Dec 2024

Hellas Verona
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Milan
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Hellas Verona vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.72
Away Pick
61%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.97
Over
54%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.52
2-3
47%
1.78
4-5
25%
3.22
6+
6%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.27
1/2
3%
23.4
1/X
5%
16.15
X/1
6%
10.65
X/2
20%
3.93
X/X
13%
5.4
2/1
1%
34.5
2/2
39%
2.07
2/X
5%
15.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Hellas Verona v Milan — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Hellas Verona The Market 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan The Market 61%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.03 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.20
1.90 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.05
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 83%
15 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Hellas Verona vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hellas Verona
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Milan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.12 xG 2.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
237 Passes 384
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 0-1 Milan Milan İTA
23.09.2023 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
04.06.2023 Milan Milan 3-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
16.10.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 1-1 Milan Milan İTA
08.05.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 1-1 Milan Milan İTA
16.10.2021 Milan Milan 3-2 HT 0-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA

Hellas Verona 0-1 Milan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hellas Verona
0 - 1
AWAY Milan
0.68 xG 0.81
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
224 Passes 489
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Hellas Verona vs Milan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Milan edged past Hellas Verona 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Milan saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.68 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan led the recent series with 6 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Hellas Verona against 2.50 for Milan.

Hellas Verona vs Milan Result & Final Score

Hellas Verona 0 - 1 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hellas Verona vs Milan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 16%, draw 23%, Milan 61%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Milan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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