Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 20 Dec 2024

Adelaide United (K)
1-3 HT 1-2
Melbourne City (K)
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒08:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.5
No
55%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
25%
+11.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.9pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
62%
-17.1pp
55%
BTTS No
38%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.29/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.65/0.72
-28% / -57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
19.4 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.58 xG 2.55
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
238 Passes 494
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
06.01.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 0-5 HT 0-4 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
30.11.2019 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
01.12.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1-3
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.81 xG 1.56
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
250 Passes 420
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) saw off Adelaide United (K) 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 41% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 59%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.81 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 2.00 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 1-3 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 36%, draw 20%, Melbourne City (K) 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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