Madura United 2-1 Bali United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 20 Dec 2024

Madura United
2-1 HT 1-0
Bali United
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Indonesia League 1 – 2024/2025

Madura United vs Bali United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
26%
+8.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-8.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Madura United v Bali United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Bali United EU Bookmakers 52%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.23/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.48
+8% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Madura United vs Bali United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Bali United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
245 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
The Meetings
12.12.2022 Madura United Madura United 1-3 HT 1-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
21.03.2022 Madura United Madura United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bali United Bali United ENDL1
09.12.2021 Bali United Bali United 0-1 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
15.03.2020 Bali United Bali United 3-1 HT 2-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
22.12.2019 Bali United Bali United 0-2 HT 0-2 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Bali United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United edged past Bali United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Madura United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bali United led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madura United and 1.60 for Bali United.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Bali United?

Madura United 2-1 Bali United in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Bali United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bali United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Madura United 35%, draw 25%, Bali United 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bali United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bali United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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