Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Borneo FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Borneo FC EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.26/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.05
-6% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persebaya Surabaya
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Borneo FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
298 Passes 376
07.03.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
03.09.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 1-1 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
03.02.2023 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 3-2 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
19.08.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
30.03.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 1-2 HT 1-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
04.09.2021 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
POST-MATCH Persebaya Surabaya vs Borneo FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persebaya Surabaya nicked a narrow win over Borneo FC 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Persebaya Surabaya as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borneo FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Persebaya Surabaya and 2.00 for Borneo FC.

What was the final score of Persebaya Surabaya vs Borneo FC?

Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 Borneo FC in the Indonesia League 1 on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persebaya Surabaya vs Borneo FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persebaya Surabaya win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Persebaya Surabaya 42%, draw 28%, Borneo FC 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persebaya Surabaya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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