FC Goa 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 20 Dec 2024

FC Goa
2-1 HT 1-0
ATK Mohun Bagan
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.6pp
34%
Draw
27%
+6.7pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Goa v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.16/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
+4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
17.1 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
2W-0D-4L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 0.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
361 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.02.2024 FC Goa FC Goa 0-1 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
23.12.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 1-4 HT 1-3 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
28.12.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
20.11.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 3-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
15.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
29.12.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL

FC Goa 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
2-1
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.98 xG 1.43
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
188 Passes 279
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
9 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa squeezed past ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) promised a tight game; FC Goa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Goa had 41% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 59%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.43 — on chances, ATK Mohun Bagan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Goa and 1.33 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

FC Goa 2-1 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 30%, draw 34%, ATK Mohun Bagan 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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