RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 20 Dec 2024

RKC Waalwijk
1-1 HT 1-1
PEC Zwolle
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.18
Over 2.5
43%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
8%
8.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 29% vs market 18.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.86
1/2
7%
25.0
1/X
9%
12.4
X/1
13%
6.23
X/2
15%
5.65
X/X
14%
5.18
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.36
2/X
7%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-2.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
42%
+15.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
58%
-15.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.2pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +20%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.13
+10% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.0 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-4D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 380
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.05.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
25.11.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
23.04.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
27.11.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
06.02.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
21.10.2020 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-1
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.59 xG 1.43
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
287 Passes 419
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk and PEC Zwolle shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 43% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 57%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 2.59 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.00 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle?

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated an PEC Zwolle win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 33%, draw 30%, PEC Zwolle 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PEC Zwolle), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PEC Zwolle) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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