RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 May 2024

RKC Waalwijk
1-1 HT 0-0
PEC Zwolle
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.86
2-3 Goals
40%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
13%
4.17
X/2
7%
10.45
X/X
10%
6.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
19.1
2/2
8%
6.84
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 14% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
58%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.0pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 24%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.83
+44% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
20.4 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1W-4D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 380
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
23.04.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
27.11.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
06.02.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
21.10.2020 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
08.02.2020 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-1
AWAY PEC Zwolle
3.00 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
22 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 11
10 Corners 5
271 Passes 406
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
39 Box Touches 25
31 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk and PEC Zwolle couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. RKC Waalwijk carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 43% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 57%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 3.00 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 0.83 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle?

RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 58%, draw 21%, PEC Zwolle 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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