Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 May 2024

Utrecht
0-1 HT 0-0
Sparta Rotterdam
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
16%
4.39
X/2
9%
8.58
X/X
13%
5.74
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
21.1
2/2
10%
5.85
2/X
6%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.1 — our 6% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Sparta Rotterdam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.76/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.42
-17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
26.5 Crosses 16.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.87 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
353 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
04.06.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
01.06.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-2 HT 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
24.02.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
23.10.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
23.01.2022 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-3 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
0-1
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.17 xG 1.34
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
385 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 25
40 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Rotterdam squeezed past Utrecht 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Utrecht at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht had 56% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 44%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 1.17 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Utrecht and 0.67 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Utrecht 0-1 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 53%, draw 24%, Sparta Rotterdam 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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