Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
45%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.09
2-3 Goals
34%
1.96
4-5 Goals
30%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
7.01
1/2
6%
20.45
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
12%
10.35
X/2
18%
4.24
X/X
8%
6.1
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.05
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
22%
+9.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-10.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 60%
-20% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
1.63/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.14
+14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
21.2 Crosses 17.3
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
0W-0D-6L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.96 xG 2.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
324 Passes 385
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-1 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
25.01.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 0-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
07.08.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.02.2022 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-4 HT 1-3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
26.09.2021 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 5-0 HT 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
13.01.2017 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
0-3
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.30 xG 2.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
307 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ Alkmaar swept aside Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AZ Alkmaar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 43% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 57%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.30 to 2.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 3.83 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?

Go Ahead Eagles 0-3 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated an AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 31%, draw 24%, AZ Alkmaar 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AZ Alkmaar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AZ Alkmaar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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