Excelsior vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v Heracles — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-1
Excelsior
HOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HAZ
2-1
HT 0-0
Excelsior
HAZ
1-3
HT 1-0
Excelsior
HOL2
3-0
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Excelsior
HAZ
Excelsior 4-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior swept aside Heracles 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
On the day, Excelsior had 60% of the ball to Heracles's 40%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 3.80 to 0.41.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Excelsior and 1.33 for Heracles.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Heracles?
Excelsior 4-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Heracles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 51%, draw 24%, Heracles 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.