NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 0-2
NEC Nijmegen
HOK
2-0
HT 2-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Feyenoord
HOL
1-4
HT 1-1
Feyenoord
HOL
NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord — Actual Match Statistics
Feyenoord squeezed past NEC Nijmegen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 32% of the ball to Feyenoord's 68%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 2.00 to 3.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Feyenoord's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 2.33 for Feyenoord.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
NEC Nijmegen 2-3 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord?
Before kick-off our model rated an Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 27%, draw 25%, Feyenoord 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.