Feyenoord 2-2 NEC Nijmegen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Jan 2024

📅14/01/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.1
2-3 Goals
34%
2.31
4-5 Goals
27%
2.37
6+ Goals
20%
4.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.23
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
17%
3.56
X/2
5%
34.0
X/X
8%
13.1
2/1
8%
21.75
2/2
8%
26.5
2/X
7%
32.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.2pp
18%
Draw
11%
+7.0pp
17%
Away Win
7%
+10.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.4pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 9%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
2.34/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.93
-7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
527 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
23.2 Crosses 9.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
4W-2D-0L
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
3.11 xG 0.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
26 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
567 Passes 272
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
53 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4-4 HT 0-2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOK
25.01.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
02.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
23.01.2022 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-4 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
25.09.2021 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5-3 HT 2-2 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
29.01.2017 Feyenoord Feyenoord 4-0 HT 2-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
2-2
AWAY NEC Nijmegen
2.37 xG 0.49
69% Ball Possession 31%
25 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
630 Passes 254
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
66 Box Touches 4
30 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs NEC Nijmegen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord and NEC Nijmegen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Feyenoord at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%) came in.

On the day, Feyenoord had 69% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 31%, shots finished 25-2, expected goals 2.37 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Feyenoord and 1.50 for NEC Nijmegen.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs NEC Nijmegen?

Feyenoord 2-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs NEC Nijmegen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 65%, draw 18%, NEC Nijmegen 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Feyenoord) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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