Vitesse 0-0 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 14 Jan 2024

Vitesse
0-0 HT 0-0
Utrecht
📅14/01/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Vitesse vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 31% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.21
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
6.23
X/2
15%
5.0
X/X
11%
4.95
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
10%
3.1
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · X/1 at 6.23 — our 20% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
34%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-9.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitesse v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitesse EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.05/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.37
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.7 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vitesse vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Utrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.02 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
355 Passes 304
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.02.2023 Vitesse Vitesse 2-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
11.09.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
22.05.2022 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
19.05.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 2-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
20.02.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
07.11.2021 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 2-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Vitesse 0-0 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
0-0
AWAY Utrecht
0.93 xG 1.65
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 14
231 Passes 365
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 45
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vitesse vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitesse and Utrecht fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Vitesse at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vitesse had 41% of the ball to Utrecht's 59%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 0.93 to 1.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vitesse and 1.00 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Vitesse vs Utrecht?

Vitesse 0-0 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 14/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitesse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 42%, draw 26%, Utrecht 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitesse) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitesse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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