Pharco 1-2 Masr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 20 Dec 2024

Pharco
1-2 HT 1-1
Masr
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
6.66
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.4pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pharco EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Masr EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.01/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.03
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
15.2 Crosses 14.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pharco
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Masr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.91 xG 2.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
246 Passes 292
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2024 Masr 2-2 HT 1-0 Pharco Pharco MSR
16.01.2024 Pharco Pharco 0-2 HT 0-1 Masr MISLK
15.12.2023 Pharco Pharco 1-2 HT 1-0 Masr MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pharco
1-2
AWAY Masr
0.92 xG 0.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
385 Passes 285
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pharco vs Masr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masr edged past Pharco 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (25% / 34% / 40%) promised a tight game; Masr found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pharco had 55% of the ball to Masr's 45%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.92 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Masr led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pharco and 2.00 for Masr.

What was the final score of Pharco vs Masr?

Pharco 1-2 Masr in the Egypt - Premier League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pharco vs Masr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Masr win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pharco 25%, draw 34%, Masr 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Masr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Masr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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