El Gounah 1-0 ENPPI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
36%
2.66
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.33
Over 2.5
32%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
22%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.1pp
36%
Draw
34%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
68%
Under 2.5
72%
-3.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
28%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY ENPPI EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
0.79/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.73
-8% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
16.4 Crosses 17.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
1W-2D-3L
AWAY ENPPI
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 1.33
53% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
261 Passes 212
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2024 ENPPI ENPPI 1-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
25.12.2023 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
13.07.2022 ENPPI ENPPI 2-2 HT 2-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
20.12.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-1 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
28.08.2021 ENPPI ENPPI 2-0 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
16.04.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-0 HT 0-0 ENPPI ENPPI MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
1-0
AWAY ENPPI
0.98 xG 0.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 Passes 250
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs ENPPI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah squeezed past ENPPI 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 36% / 37%) promised a tight game; El Gounah found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Gounah had 50% of the ball to ENPPI's 50%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 0.98 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ENPPI led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for El Gounah and 1.33 for ENPPI.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs ENPPI?

El Gounah 1-0 ENPPI in the Egypt - Premier League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs ENPPI?

Before kick-off our model rated an ENPPI win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 27%, draw 36%, ENPPI 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ENPPI) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ENPPI) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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