EM Mahdia 2-2 Hammam-Sousse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 31%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.26/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.81
-77% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +39%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Sousse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia and Hammam-Sousse shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Sousse?

EM Mahdia 2-2 Hammam-Sousse in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Hammam-Sousse?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 40%, draw 28%, Hammam-Sousse 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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